Accuracy

Predicted vs actual — from real outcomes only

Every number on this page comes from a buyer telling us what they actually paid, matched against the max bid Carleeta recommended at report time. Nothing here is modelled or estimated — if there isn't enough recorded data yet, we say so.

Methodology

Carleeta records a “predicted” max bid on every report at the moment it's generated. When a buyer later tells us what they actually paid, that outcome is matched back to its report's predicted figure. This page aggregates only outcomes recorded this way — it never includes a report where no one has told us what happened.

Stats update as outcomes are recorded. Below a minimum sample size, we show “not enough verified outcomes yet” rather than a number computed from too few data points. No individual report, vehicle or buyer is ever identifiable from these figures.